+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ Bretton Woods Observer Summer 2026 A quarterly critical review of developments at the World Bank and IMF Published by BRETTON WOODS PROJECT Working with NGOs and researchers to monitor the World Bank and IMF +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ 1. IMF and World Bank’s muted response to illegal attacks on Iran deepens legitimacy concerns 2. World Bank Scorecard midterm review: More data, uncertain outcomes 3. Building what was never built for us: The Borrowers’ Platform and the fight to correct sovereign risk By Ambassador Ali Naseer Mohamed, Permanent Representative of the Maldives to the United Nations 4. World Bank’s Climate Change Action Plan extended despite US pressure 5. New World Bank mineral and metals strategy challenged to avoid pitfalls of extractionist approach 6. World Bank’s Water Forward initiative: Ensuring equitable water security, or narrowing paths to public solutions? 7. World Bank Group accountability mechanisms merger: The decision is made – now comes the hard part Guest comment by Dustin Schäfer, Urgewald 8. South Africa’s power utility in early discussions with World Bank on nuclear financing 9. World Bank Group distracted by internal restructure and reforms 10. Pierre‑Olivier Gourinchas steps down as the IMF’s Chief Economist 11. New Independent Evaluation Office report calls for stronger integration of climate into IMF surveillance and lending 12. Global Partnerships Conference and World Bank Group’s London Financial Solutions Hub put spotlight on UK’s private finance push ===================================================================== IFI Governance/Analysis IMF and World Bank’s muted response to illegal attacks on Iran deepens legitimacy concerns SUMMARY - No emergency response from IMF and World Bank as countries reel from global economic shock caused by war - Roots of current crisis lie in decades of austerity measures and deindustrialisation of the South - CSOs call for debt relief and a fundamental reorganisation of the international financial architecture The inequality inherent in the international financial architecture (IFA) has been laid bare by the United States’ (the BWI’s largest shareholder) war on Iran and from its ally Israel’s campaign of destruction and ethnic cleansing in Lebanon. The crisis deepens questions regarding the legitimacy of the Bretton Woods Institutions (BWIs) – the World Bank and IMF – as central pillars of the multilateral system. The rising prices of petroleum, gas and other commodities have already produced food and fuel inflation, disproportionately impacting the working class, women, the poor and marginalised communities (see Briefing, Fuelling inequality: The gendered impacts of World Bank and IMF fuel subsidy removal). Indonesia has moved to shutter social welfare and protection programmes, while Egypt, Bangladesh, Pakistan, Sri Lanka and Thailand have rationed energy to preserve their fuel reserves. Protests against fuel price hikes, driven also by the removal of consumer fuel subsidies, have taken place in Kenya while In Bolivia, an oil producing country currently negotiating an IMF programme, weeks of protests demanded that the incumbent US-backed right-wing administration, vocally supported by the World Bank, step down. As Shereen Talaat, of the MENAFem Movement observes, “The current escalation is not just a geopolitical or security crisis. It is a crisis of the international financial system itself. For decades, when wars, climate disasters, pandemics, or financial shocks happen, ordinary people in the Global South pay the price. The link between militarism and the international financial system is neither random nor unimportant. Armed conflict creates huge profits for fossil fuel companies, arms makers, and financial institutions, while simultaneously pushing indebted countries deeper into crisis.” Roots of current crisis lie in debt and austerity The depth of the current crisis is not solely caused by a supply-shock but by the long history of de-industrialisation of the South, including via the BWIs’ structural adjustment policies. Countries’ increased vulnerability to exogenous shocks is the cumulative product of decades of IMF and World Bank austerity policies that have weakened Global South economies, dismantled the regulatory state and made them dependent on the global market for essential commodities. Shehrzadae Moeed of Pakistan-based civil society organisation (CSO) the Alternative Law Collective argues that “decades of World Bank involvement in the energy sector have meant that instead of securing affordable energy, projects such as the International Finance Corporation’s (IFC)-funded Port Qasim Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) terminals forced Pakistan into long-term contracts with Qatar. This has locked the country into importing expensive fossil fuels and diminishing its ability to develop energy security and affordability through renewable energy systems. Meanwhile, IMF conditionalities required significant levies and surcharges on petroleum, prioritising revenue generation for debt servicing over citizen well-being in a country where almost a third of the population lives below the poverty line.” The significance of the BWIs is increasing, as countries are forced to turn to them to deal with the fallout. Twenty-five countries have already sought emergency loans from the World Bank and 12 countries have reportedly gone to the IMF for further loans. The crisis is therefore worsening debt levels, which are already at record highs, and entrenching the power of the BWIs in the IFA (see Observer Winter 2025). Yet there has been no ‘emergency response’ from the BWIs, as was the case during the Covid-19 pandemic and post Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. CSOs have called for a robust emergency response, with Talaat arguing that the depth of the current crisis requires fundamental change including, “a democratic and representative international financial system, a fair sovereign debt resolution process under the United Nations, wider use of SDRs without conditions, the removal of IMF surcharges, and more freedom for countries to pursue industrialisation, public investment, food sovereignty, energy sovereignty, and care-centered development.” BWIs’ Global North shareholders undermine the multilateral system The multilateral system was designed ostensibly to avoid states’ unilateral actions undermining monetary and macroeconomic stability. Yet the BWIs’ Global North shareholders have arguably weakened multilateralism, not least by ensuring that the BWIs are all but excluded from the UN at 80 process (see Observer Spring 2026) even though they are formally both specialised UN institutions (see Observer Spring 2026, Autumn 2025). In policy terms, both institutions have belatedly recognised that fuel and food shortages will exacerbate the debt crisis. However, they are still mandating further austerity, warning countries not to introduce subsidies to prevent economic collapse and protect social cohesion, and instead introduce targeted and temporary measures – which have been extensively criticised. As Osama Diab, a researcher specialising in development and economic rights notes, this is a continuation of a historical dynamic where Global South economies are “compelled to absorb sacrifices; interest rate hikes, austerity, currency devaluation & privatization, which the IMF markets as the only available remedy for crises these countries played no part in creating.” While the IMF sees fit to criticise countries for deigning to introduce industrial policies that could help protect economies from the vicissitudes of Global North leaders, the BWIs have been largely silent on the ‘spillover effects’ of the geopolitical manoeuvrings of their largest shareholder. The IMF has criticised China for causing “adverse spillovers to trading partners”, while the US Article IV contains no mention of the damaging global consequences of the Trump administration’s economic policies. As supposed pillars of the IFA, charged with development and financial stability, the BWIs are apparently unable or unwilling to critique the US’s direct role in creating the crisis (see Dispatch Springs 2026). The question of how countries deal with exogenous shocks, which are increasing in number and duration, is set to become more urgent as a result of the growing importance of rare earth minerals (see page 5), coupled with increased use of industrial policy by the US, Europe and other important shareholders. Talaat argues that “the failure of the IMF and World Bank to address the economic effects of actions taken by their most powerful members raises serious questions about legitimacy, accountability, and democratic governance in the international financial system. A New International Economic Order is not just a historical slogan. It is an urgent need. As crises become more frequent and connected, the choice is becoming clearer: continue managing instability through debt and austerity, or create a global economic system based on justice, solidarity, sovereignty, human rights and anti-imperialism.” ===================================================================== IFI Governance/News World Bank Scorecard midterm review: More data, uncertain outcomes The midterm review of the World Bank’s Corporate Scorecard – a set of 22 outcome- focused indicators to measure the Bank’s progress (see Observer Autumn 2024, Summer 2023) – is now underway. The review’s purpose is to assess whether the indicators that track performance against development outcomes are fit for purpose and to make necessary adjustments before the cycle concludes. The Independent Evaluation Group (IEG) is conducting a parallel evaluation to feed into the process, flagging in its approach paper the risk that scorecards can become tools “for seeking legitimacy, rather than mechanisms for improving organisational effectiveness.” Civil society organisations (CSOs) following the review report that the timeline remains opaque, with little clarity on when the review will conclude or how external inputs will be incorporated, calling into question whether the review will afford meaningful space for course correction (see Observer Autumn 2024). US-based CSO Bank Information Center has identified gaps in the Scorecard’s disaggregation methodology, and amongst others, in the net greenhouse gas indicator, which excludes development policy financing and IFC trade finance from emission measurements. The jobs indicator – not part of the original 21 indicators – has also drawn criticism from the International Trade Union Confederation, with Evelyn Astor, its director of economic and social policies, noting for Devex in April that the metric fails to capture job quality: “If the average wages are poverty wages, then your indicator using average wages as a benchmark is useless.” The new system discloses more data, but much of it remains difficult to interpret, raising questions about conflating volume with transparency. Whether these disclosure gaps translate into substantive indicator changes during the midterm review will test the Bank’s commitment to accountability over optics. ===================================================================== Finance/Guest Analysis Building what was never built for us: The Borrowers’ Platform and the fight to correct sovereign risk By Ambassador Ali Naseer Mohamed, Permanent Representative of the Maldives to the United Nations SUMMARY: - Borrowers’ Platform represents significant step in addressing long-standing imbalances in the international financial architecture - Platform will provide affiliated states the opportunity to share experiences, discuss common challenges and coordinate through a formal mechanism – as long available for creditors Every borrowing country knows the moment when a risk model becomes a verdict. It comes quietly, in a rating note or a debt assessment. A sea-wall built to protect an airport is counted first as debt, or a clean energy project meant to cut fuel imports is treated as another fiscal burden. The Borrowers’ Platform was created to answer that problem. Launched in Washington DC in mid-April, on the margins of the IMF and World Bank Spring Meetings, it followed the Fourth International Conference on Financing for Development (FfD4), in Seville, Spain, in 2025 (see Observer Summer 2025, Spring 2025). Rooted in the Compromiso de Sevilla, the FfD4 outcome document, the Platform gives borrowing countries their own space to build an evidence base, confidence and collective weight. The Platform matters because it responds to a demand that long predates Seville. Since calls for a New International Economic Order in the 1970s, developing countries have sought greater agency within global economic governance (see Observer Autumn 2024). The debt crises of the 1980s, the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries initiative, and recent debates on sovereign debt architecture exposed the same imbalance: those most affected by the rules often have the least influence over how they are made. The institutions governing sovereign finance were built by a narrow set of actors at a particular historical moment. Many of today’s borrowers were absent from those rooms because of colonial rule, unequal representation, and the post-war power configurations that shaped the original architecture. The methods they adopted still carry traces of that origin. A secretariat gives that space a working centre. The United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) is well placed for that role, with its long record of in-depth understanding of developing-country debt and financing constraints. I served on the Working Group, comprising seven countries from the UN’s regional groups, that helped finalise the Platform’s institutional shape. I represented the Maldives, a small island developing state (SIDS), facing many constraints the initiative seeks to address. The discussions were technical, but the stakes were political. The Platform had to be borrower-led, trusted by members, and useful across different debt profiles and financing needs. Long before a debt crisis reaches the negotiating table, many of its terms have already been set. Sovereign finance is shaped by an asymmetry of power between lenders and borrowers: the information, expertise, negotiating capacity and agenda-setting ability that determine how risk is judged (see Observer Winter 2025). It appears in rating reviews, debt sustainability assessments and market signals that move faster than government explanations. The Platform will work to address the tangible costs of the current system None of this means lenders and investors lack legitimate concerns when assessing sovereign risk. Indeed, markets perform an essential function in allocating capital and pricing uncertainty. The question, however, is whether risk is being fully understood. Existing methods are often better at measuring debt than recognising the resilience that debt may finance. They see the liability more clearly than the protection and stability behind it. For SIDS, the cost is visible in numbers. ODI Global found in 2025 that ten SIDS issuing US dollar-denominated bonds between 2003 and 2023 will pay an estimated $78.7 billion in repayments on $36.6 billion borrowed. Had those countries borrowed at the average rates available to the Group of Seven (G7) industrialised economies, almost $34 billion could have been freed for climate resilience and the achievement of the Sustainable Development Goals. That is what a risk premium costs. For small economies, $34 billion is no abstraction. It is the sea-wall delayed, the clinic or island hospital left unbuilt, and the social protection that does not reach vulnerable families when prices rise or storms hit. In the Maldives, we know this problem well. When we go to market, we pay a premium that our fundamentals do not justify. Much of what we borrow for is meant to reduce future risk. The debt appears immediately in the assessment, but the resilience it buys is harder to quantify. Then the cycle tightens. Vulnerability is priced in. Capital becomes more expensive. Fiscal space narrows. Investment is delayed or scaled back. The next assessment sees the result and treats it as proof. The Platform’s role is practical and non-confrontational. It gives borrowers a setting for peer learning, technical exchange, and structured dialogue with the institutions and markets that shape the price and terms of finance. Still, some questions remain. During the Platform’s design, participants agreed that it should remain borrower-led, although views differed on what that meant in practice. Some wanted technical exchange. Others saw room for shared positions on systemic questions over time. More countries are now joining the Platform. Membership will endure only if it helps borrowers navigate the information gaps and technical imbalances that shape how they are judged. For too long, sovereign finance has spoken about borrowing countries with partial information. The Borrowers’ Platform gives them a place to find answers, and for borrowing countries to build what was never built for them. ===================================================================== Environment/Analysis World Bank’s Climate Change Action Plan extended despite US pressure SUMMARY - World Bank’s 45 per cent climate finance target ‘retired’ after US criticism - CCAP will be evaluated by Bank’s Independent Evaluation Group after extension - Civil society criticised World Bank management for lack of clear signal on future of institution’s climate work The World Bank Group’s (WBG) Climate Change Action Plan (CCAP) was extended indefintely on 29 June, after negotiations were successful in resolving an impasse on the immediate future of the Bank’s climate work. A World Bank’s statement announcing the extension of the CCAP said the WBG’s 45 per cent climate finance target would be retired, although the Bank will continue to report to the executive board on climate finance totals. The short statement indicated that the Bank’s Independent Evaluation Group (IEG) would review the CCAP, but did not provide a time-frame or clarify how the review would inform the future of the Bank’s climate commitments. WBG management and executive directors remained locked in discussions about extending the CCAP for months, with the United States – the Bank’s largest shareholder – actively seeking to weaken the Bank’s climate commitments despite a deepening global climate crisis. The World Bank’s 2021-2025 CCAP (see Observer Summer 2021) was extended for 12 months last year and was due to expire on 30 June. The 2021-2025 CCAP, the Bank’s second five-year plan following the 2016-2020 version, committed the institution (inter alia) to aligning all its activities with the Paris Climate Agreement – to which the Bank is an observer – a process it ultimately launched on 1 July 2023. It also included the creation of a new diagnostic, Country Climate and Development Reports, through which the Bank helps countries assess how to integrate climate and development planning, and an initial target of 35 per cent of its portfolio consisting of climate finance, which was later increased to 45 per cent. Negotiations among WBG shareholders on a possible extension of the 2021-2025 CCAP have been extensive, amid the US’s wider war on climate action and slashing of development finance. In his statement to the World Bank’s Development Committee in April, US Treasury Scott Bessent called the CCAP’s 30 June expiration “long overdue” and criticised the WBG target of 45 per cent of its lending and other investments being climate finance as “distortionary”. However, according to reporting by Devex, the G11+ group – consisting of the executive directors representing the Bank’s borrower countries – issued a joint letter in May calling for a one-year extension of the 2021-2025 CCAP accompanied by a review by IEG to inform a decision on the best way forward. With fossil-fuel producing countries such as Russia and Saudi Arabia signing the statement, the US’s position appeared increasingly isolated. Previously, ahead of the 2025 Annual Meetings, Reuters reported that 19 World Bank executive directors had issued a joint statement indicating that they expected the World Bank to develop a new version of the CCAP. A 27 May letter signed by 93 civil society organisations (CSOs), including Power Shift Africa and Climate Action Network International, criticised WBG management’s unclear signals about the future of the Bank’s climate work, and called for, “No lapse or retrogression” of its climate commitments, and a “further one-year extension of the 2021-2025 CCAP, allowing time for the development of a new five-year CCAP, via consultation with Bank member states and global civil society.” World Bank climate finance emerges as key battleground The Bank’s 45 per cent climate finance target, which drew the ire of Bessent, was announced by World Bank President Ajay Banga at COP28 in late 2023. This effectively superseded the 35 per cent target included in the Bank’s 2021-2025 CCAP, which – per the Bank’s controversial climate finance reporting (see Observer Autumn 2022) – it had already surpassed at the time. According to the Bank, in fiscal year 2025, the WBG delivered $50.8 billion in climate finance – a record high – with it counting 48 per cent of all investments as having ‘climate co-benefits’, the Bank’s benchmark for being counted as climate finance. However, CSOs have criticised the lack of transparency of World Bank climate finance – which is particularly glaring for the International Finance Corporation (IFC), the Bank’s private investment arm, and the Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA), the Bank’s commercial insurance arm, which only publish aggregate totals of their annual climate finance, rather than project-level information (see Briefing, Grading the World Bank Group on climate justice principles). The Bank’s climate finance is also largely provided as loans, with the exception of some financing provided via the International Development Association (IDA), the Bank’s low-income lending arm. This raises the issue of the alignment of this finance with the ‘polluter pays’ principle enshrined in the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change. Despite these shortcomings, the finance provided by the Bank and its multilateral development bank (MDB) peers is currently a key pillar of efforts to mobilise $300 billion in climate finance for low- and middle-income countries by 2035, as part of a new global climate finance commitment agreed at COP29 in late 2024 (see Observer Winter 2024). World Bank risked breaking promise to renew CCAP agreed in IDA21 replenishment A significant backdrop to the negotiations was the fact that the World Bank committed to developing a new CCAP in the report for the 21st replenishment of IDA (IDA21), approved by World Bank governors in April 2025. The IDA21 replenishment report explicitly noted, “The WBG commits to developing a successor to the Climate Change Action Plan (CCAP) 2021-2025. It will evolve in view of the WBG Scorecard, corporate targets, and other strategic initiatives.” In response to the CCAP extension, Haneen Shaheen from regional CSO MENAFem Movement noted, “Climate action is not an optional add-on to development – it is the foundation of it. Any attempt to dilute the World Bank’s climate commitments while communities face escalating debt, displacement, and climate disasters is a step backwards. The Global South needs transformative, accountable public finance, not diluted frameworks and disappearing targets.” ===================================================================== Environment/Analysis New World Bank mineral and metals strategy challenged to avoid pitfalls of extractionist approach SUMMARY - New World Bank mining and metals approach aims to quintuple investments centred on country compacts and private sector mobilisation - Civil society and academics question strategy’s ability to adapt from failures of previous extractionist approach In 2025, the World Bank began an update of its approach to metals and minerals. In light of the increased geopolitical importance of mining – and given the World Bank’s long-standing support for economically, socially and environmentally damaging mining and resource extraction from the Global South, as outlined by US-based The Oakland Institute – civil society and academics have called for a radical departure from previous approaches (see Observer Winter 2025, Spring 2016, Spring 2015, Winter 2014). The update process has been beset by confusion, and it has been unclear until recently that the new website seems to constitute the new ‘strategy’. Whatever the case, it is clear that the new strategy will be closely linked to the Bank’s much criticised ‘jobs agenda’ (see Observer Winter 2024), and anchored on “locally-led” country compacts. To date the Bank has launched four compacts with Bolivia, Malawi, Mauritania and Zambia, with plans for additional compacts to be finalised during the year. Crucially, the approach further embeds a reliance on private capital mobilisation and de-risking of private investments (see Observer Summer 2025, Autumn 2022) with its detrimental impact on state capacity to direct the just transition (see Observer Winter 2025; Briefing, A just energy transition deferred). The Bank has shown its ambitions quite clearly in a blog stating that it plans to, “quintuple [its] support to metals and minerals in the next five years.” Providing further emphasis on the importance multilateral development banks (MDBs) have attributed to the issue generally, a 17 April joint MDB statement – which tellingly excluded Global South-led institutions such as the New Development and Asian Infrastructure Investment Banks – concluded with a ‘call to action’ to “rapidly scale diversified, resilient, and responsible critical minerals to manufacturing value chains.” Sovereignty in times of crises and geopolitical pressures The World Bank and broader MDB focus on metals and minerals must be seen within the increasing geopolitical and economic importance of mineral and rare earth supply chains, which is evident in recent agreements reached between the US and the European Union and the United Kingdom. On 16 April, Mining.com reported that US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent pressed the World Bank to, “pivot towards funding critical minerals projects in an effort to bolster a supply chain that’s currently dominated by China.” The article also stressed that, “[multilateral finance] is being repositioned as a tool to counter China’s dominance in mineral supply chains. The Asian country controls over 90% of rare earths and some other critical minerals, giving Beijing leverage over Western countries on trade matters.” The strategy will confront the fact that geopolitical priorities of major MDB shareholders such as the US, Europe and Japan, and the dire economic circumstances faced by many mineral and metal exporters (see Observer Winter 2025), may curtail exporters’ ability to avoid the pitfalls of mining dependence outlined in the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development’s (UNCTAD) March and June reports. “It remains unclear whether the strategy adequately confronts the fundamental development challenge facing resource-rich economies,” stressed Karabo Mokgonyana of PowerShift Africa. “History demonstrates that extraction-led growth, even when accompanied by significant foreign investment, rarely delivers sustained industrialisation on its own. The strategy’s success will be determined by its ability to expand the policy space available to resource-rich countries to pursue their own industrialisation and development priorities. Anything less risks repackaging a familiar extractive model in the language of the energy transition or minerals development,” she added. ===================================================================== Social Services/Analysis World Bank’s Water Forward initiative: Ensuring equitable water security, or narrowing paths to public solutions? SUMARY - Water Forward promises water security for one billion, yet its infrastructure-first approach risks concentrating resources in already viable countries while leaving poorest behind - CSOs argue equitable outcomes require explicit investment in rural provider capacity and genuinely inclusive decision-making at local levels Launched at the World Bank and IMF Spring Meetings on 15 April, Water Forward is a global platform, developed by the World Bank Group in partnership with other multilateral development banks (MDBs) – including the African Development Bank, Asian Development Bank and a consortium of philanthropies and finance institutions – to improve access to safe water for one billion people by 2030. The headline number is striking: four billion people currently experience water scarcity, and water underpins an estimated 1.7 billion jobs worldwide. The political moment matters too: the launch builds momentum ahead of the upcoming 2026 UN Water Conference, where financing the implementation of Sustainable Development Goal 6 is expected to be a central issue. At the core of Water Forward are country-led water compacts, through which governments define reform priorities, commit to strengthening institutions, and establish investment pathways for their water sectors. Fourteen countries announced their compacts at the launch, with 25 additional compacts now in preparation. What “reform” really means The platform’s language about economic reform is telling. Water compacts aim to improve utility creditworthiness, introduce clearer pricing structures, and create stable policy environments – conditions the Bank says are necessary for “market development”. Despite its contested history of supporting privatisation (see Observer Spring 2024), the Bank has positioned Water Forward as enabling private participation alongside public sector oversight. Public Services International (PSI) warned on World Water Day on 22nd March that combining cost recovery, privatisation and public-private partnerships (PPPs) badly hit service users and taxpayers, undermining human rights to water and sanitation. When cost recovery pricing is imposed through PPPs, private operators shift the burden to consumers through tariff increases. Public utilities – mandated to operate in the public interest – traditionally use subsidies to keep costs low and expand coverage, with cost recovery introduced once universal access improves. By contrast, private companies extract profits, narrowing coverage to profitable urban areas and restricting low-income access. Yet the deeper problem with Water Forward, according to former World Bank water specialist Joel Kolker, is not the emphasis on private capital mobilisation per se, but the pool of bankable water providers. Most emerging market providers are financially unviable; you cannot “build your way out” with infrastructure alone. In a blog for Global Water Intelligence in June, Kolger argued that, what is needed is “stable revenue streams, operational efficiency, and more transparent governance and regulatory regimes.” An alternative framework exists: Just Water Partnerships, conceived by the Global Commission on the Economics of Water and championed by WaterAid and International Water Management Institute, would ensure that public-private investment portfolios prioritise equitable and sustainable outcomes alongside financing, with genuinely inclusive decision-making at their core. With the UN Water Conference approaching in December, the Bank faces a critical test: whether its approach to leveraging private investment can deliver water security for a billion people without pricing out the world’s poorest. ===================================================================== Accountability/Guest comment World Bank Group accountability mechanisms merger: The decision is made – now comes the hard part Guest comment by Dustin Schäfer, Urgewald SUMMARY - World Bank Group board announced merger of institution’s independent accountability mechanisms - Civil society groups remain concerned regarding the independence of the new Bank-wide mechanism - Policy framework to guide integration yet to be developed On 9 June, the World Bank Group (WBG) executive board approved the merger of its independent accountability mechanisms (IAMs), as part of WBG President Ajay Banga’s efforts to streamline Bank processes (see page 8). The new mechanism integrates the World Bank’s Accountability Mechanism (which comprises the Inspection Panel and the Dispute Resolution Service) and the Compliance Advisor Ombudsman (CAO), the accountability mechanism for the International Finance Corporation, the Bank’s private investment arm, and the Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency, the Bank’s commercial insurance arm. It will be led by a Vice President/Director General. The Bank’s press release called it a step to “strengthen” accountability. I read that word with a degree of scepticism. Unfortunately, the process did not reflect the historic consequence. What was decided The Inspection Panel, established in 1993, was a political concession extracted by communities devastated by World Bank projects: displaced by dams, stripped of livelihoods, ignored by institutions that financed harm in their name (see Observer Autumn 2017). The Narmada Bachao Andolan Movement in India and related advocacy resulted in a public accountability mechanism that gave affected people, for the first time, a formal and independent pathway to hold an international financial institution to account. That was a promise to the people most harmed by World Bank investments, it was not a governance technicality. For over thirty years, that promise was contested from within the Bank, with management and several member states never fully accepting it. Its operational independence was perpetually tested (see Observer Summer 2017), but it survived, giving the World Bank something no communications strategy can manufacture: a credible claim to legitimacy before a sceptical public. That claim is now being restructured, with the policy framework governing what replaces it not yet written. What was not decided on 9 June is the substance of the new mechanism. The final report of the task force on integration was only publicly disclosed after the board approved it. Civil society organisations (CSOs), which have spent years supporting complainants, could not verify what changed between drafts or whose interests prevailed. Non-regression was invoked in the press release, but it is a floor, not an aspiration, and stating it publicly is not the same as designing for it. There is a related failure. The three existing mechanisms whose staff hold the deepest operational knowledge of what accountability requires in practice were given far too marginal a role in shaping the process that determined their own future. Despite assurances of meaningful engagement, their expertise was treated as one input among many, not as the foundation for the reform. The first test is underway The recruitment of the new head has begun. The independence of an accountability mechanism lives or dies with its leadership. The CAO’s own policy has for years required CSO representatives on its selection committee, reflecting what it takes to build trust with the communities these mechanisms serve. The task force itself recommended civil society participation in the selection process for the new leadership. More than 50 CSOs have now formally asked the board to confirm that this standard will be honoured. How the board responds will tell us more about what this reform means than any press release. If civil society is included in a manner that is decorative rather than substantive, this will confirm concerns about a rushed process. Not just for CSOs and for the people whose suffering created the institution that is now being restructured, but for every government that has justified continued public support for the WBG to a sceptical domestic audience on the grounds that the institution is accountable. The stakes are not abstract Multilateralism is under pressure (see Observer Spring 2026, Spring 2026). Development cooperation is losing political ground, and states are increasingly under pressure to pursue growth at any cost. In this environment, strong citizen-driven accountability is not a luxury: it is what separates a legitimate development institution from a lender that has undermined the argument for its own existence. Poverty reduction without accountability to people living in poverty is a contradiction in terms. A just transition that cannot be challenged by frontline communities is not just. An accountability mechanism that is led by someone chosen through an opaque process, or whose independence is quietly compromised by institutional pressure, is not an accountability mechanism. It is a liability dressed as reform. To the WBG executive directors who pushed for this process to mean something: the policy framework must match the ambition of the announcement, and the hiring process must include civil society in substance, not just on paper. To those who used this reform to settle old scores with IAMs they never fully accepted: the communities who rely on these mechanisms are not going away. And the reputational cost of getting this wrong, at this political moment, is one the World Bank Group cannot afford. The decision is made. Now comes the hard part. ===================================================================== Infrastructure/News South Africa’s power utility in early discussions with World Bank on nuclear financing South Africa’s maligned state power utility Eskom (see Observer Summer 2024) is in “exploratory talks with the World Bank over funding for a multibillion-dollar nuclear programme that could be launched within 12 months,” according to a March report from Reuters. The Southern African Faith Communities’ Environment Institute (SADCEI) noted in a 21 May briefing that Eskom is currently planning significant nuclear power expansion, including 10 GW across multiple sites, despite a lack of published alternatives analysis or evidence of value for money. The SACFEI brief noted, “Civil society organisations warn that a new nuclear project could saddle South Africans with decades of unaffordable electricity costs, public debt, and unnecessary risk.” The Bank had a long-standing moratorium on nuclear energy financing, which was lifted in June 2025, partially due to pressure from US conservatives (see Observer Winter 2024). As noted in a March article by Ecofin Agency, “In June, the institution also signed an agreement with the International Atomic Energy Agency to strengthen technical and financial support for nuclear projects in developing countries, particularly around small modular reactors.” A May op-ed by Ute Koczy of Germany-based civil society group Urgewald in Enlit, marking the 40th anniversary of the Chernobyl disaster in Ukraine, argued against the Bank funding new nuclear projects. Koczy noted, “Nuclear energy is not economically viable, neither today nor at any point in the future. It remains significantly more expensive than renewable energy, and no nuclear project has delivered on its original promises on cost or construction time.” ===================================================================== IFI Governance/News World Bank Group distracted by internal restructure and reforms At a time described by the Center for Global Development as “a very bad moment for the world’s largest source of development finance to be so distracted and disabled,” the World Bank Group (WBG) is undergoing an opaque internal restructuring, as part of President Ajay Banga’s wider reform agenda. Public details remain limited, but there are concerns that the changes, especially those to staffing and departmental structures, are guided by shareholder pressure to cut costs, despite record income for the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development in fiscal year 2025. Evidence of the pressure faced by the Bank from the US was evident in US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s Spring Meetings speech to the Development Committee. Bessent noted that the US appreciated “plans for maintaining flat real budget growth on a Bank Group-wide basis over the next few years by harnessing efficiency gains to offset increased costs stemming from increases in business volumes.” Critics including Professor Mariana Mazzucato, of the University College London, have recently noted that the Bank already struggles to transform mission-oriented development into practice due to structural and organisational procedures. The restructure is therefore especially sensitive at a time when the recent BWI at 80 report identified this as urgently needed reform. Early signs of negative impacts are already emerging. The dissolution of the Social Development Global Practice, replaced by a narrower social protection team, has displaced staff working on citizen engagement. Additionally, the Bank has drastically reduced its pool of expertise by halting all hiring of short-term consultants, and has cut staffing on environmental and social safeguards, suggesting a streamlining that may weaken institutional checks and balances. ===================================================================== IFI Governance/News Pierre‑Olivier Gourinchas steps down as the IMF’s Chief Economist On 1 May, the IMF announced that Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas was leaving his post as the Fund’s Economic Counsellor and Director of the Research Department to return to academia at the University of California, Berkeley, effective on 1 July. Gourinchas is a familiar face for those following the IMF, publicly presenting the results of one of the Fund’s flagship publications, the World Economic Outlook, at the Spring and Annual Meetings. Gourinchas has left the Fund at a key moment, as the institution is currently undergoing reviews of some of its main activities, including the Review of Program Design and Conditionality (see Dispatch Springs 2026) and the Comprehensive Surveillance Review (see Observer Spring 2026). IMF conditionality has been strongly criticised by civil society, UN bodies and academics for undermining states’ capacity to fulfil their human rights obligations, exacerbating inequalities, and disproportionately harming the poorest and most marginalised, among other detrimental impacts (see Dispatch Annuals 2025; Observer Summer 2025; Briefing, Brace for impact: Social and gender inequality in IMF surveillance). Federico Sibaja, of international civil society organisation Recourse, noted, “IMF programme design has repeatedly overlooked the institution’s own research in recent years, despite evidence demonstrating the adverse effects of austerity, underinvestment in public services, and inadequate social protection on macroeconomic stability. It is therefore essential that the next Chief Economist ensures the IMF engages meaningfully with heterodox economic perspectives and that its policy work is guided by rigorous evidence rather than the political interests of its most influential member countries.” ===================================================================== Environment/News New Independent Evaluation Office report calls for stronger integration of climate into IMF surveillance and lending SUMMARY - Recommendations of IEO evaluation of Fund’s climate work expected to feed into IMF’s ongoing conditionality and surveillance reviews - IEO findings echo civil society concerns that climate is unevenly integrated into IMF surveillance and lending In June, the IMF’s Independent Evaluation Office (IEO) published its first evaluation of the Fund’s climate work since the launch of the Fund’s first dedicated Climate Strategy in 2021 (see Observer Autumn 2021). The findings come at a politically sensitive moment, with the current US administration – the IMF’s largest shareholder – increasingly hostile to climate action (see Observer Autumn 2025). The IMF Executive Board nonetheless signalled broad support for the Fund’s climate work, noting that while “a few Directors” questioned whether it had crowded out the core mandate, “most Directors stressed the need for sustained institutional support to preserve the progress achieved with the new approach.” The IEO’s recommendations are expected to feed into the Comprehensive Surveillance Review (CSR; see Observer Summer 2025) and the Review of Conditionality (RoC; see Observer Autumn 2025), both due this year. In an 8 June press release, international civil society organisation (CSO) Recourse welcomed the findings but argued the IEO’s recommendations did not go far enough. Recourse’s Federico Sibaja said, “The report recommendations do not seem to live up to the findings of the contradictions between austerity and climate policy, fossil fuel expansion under IMF programmes and the lack of alignment with the Paris Agreement.” He added, “We now have the responsibility to take these findings into the CSR, RoC and the Management Implementation Plan that should go to the Board before the end of the year.” Climate remains “aspirational” in surveillance On surveillance, the IEO found that Article IV reports do not systematically estimate climate financing needs or incorporate them into Debt Sustainability Analyses (DSAs), treating them as “aspirational”, and called for more explicit assessment of climate macro-criticality. This reflects a contradiction in IMF policy advice: DSAs embed fiscal consolidation measures to ensure debt repayment (see Observer Autumn 2022), thereby constraining fiscal space for climate action and potentially reinforcing dependence on fossil fuels. The IEO found evidence that some IMF-supported programmes are reliant on fossil fuel extraction, including in Argentina. This is a broader weakness of the IMF’s surveillance work that was also identified in the IEO’s fiscal policy evaluation in December 2025 (see Observer Spring 2026), which found that climate, inequality and other issues the Fund deems “macro critical” are not consistently integrated into fiscal and debt frameworks (see Briefing, Brace for impact: Social and gender inequalities in IMF surveillance), with surveillance in emerging markets remaining anchored in fiscal consolidation (see Observer Winter 2023). Aligning non-RSF lending with Paris Agreement On lending, the IEO recommended strengthening the Resilience and Sustainability Facility (RSF; see Inside the Institutions, What is the IMF Resilience and Sustainable Trust?) and clarifying how climate is integrated within lending, noting “limited and uneven integration” outside the RSF. Civil society groups and some developing countries have criticised the requirement that RSF financing is conditioned on having a separate IMF programme, arguing that this can tie climate action to fiscal consolidation measures. While the IEO found that this requirement is one of the RSF’s “most contested features,” it stopped short of recommending any changes. More broadly, CSOs have been calling for all IMF lending to be aligned with the Paris Agreement, including in recommendations to the RoC and CSR reviews. Yet the IEO noted that the Fund is not planning to do so, citing “operational flexibility” and consistency with its Articles of Agreement. Sibaja argues that “while the chapeau report claims the Article of Agreements blocks any chance of full alignment with Paris, there is no real legal analysis to support this claim.” IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva responded to the IEO’s findings, saying she “broadly support[s] the report’s key recommendations”, but stressed that climate “should be incorporated only when instrumental to program success.” ===================================================================== Finance/Analysis Global Partnerships Conference and World Bank Group’s London Financial Solutions Hub put spotlight on UK’s private finance push SUMMARY - UK’s May Global Partnerships Conference reflects rich nations’ broader shift towards private finance as development solution over structural reform - World Bank Group announces City of London will become new London Financial Solutions Hub The UK government’s Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office (FCDO) convened the Global Partnerships Conference in London in May. Co-organised by South Africa, British International Investment and the Children’s Investment Fund Foundation, it reflected a broader shift by rich nations away from traditional overseas development assistance and towards a “donor to investor” model – a reorientation accelerated by deep cuts to the UK’s aid budget and increased military spending (see Observer Spring 2026). Once more, a familiarly uncritical emphasis on private capital mobilisation (PCM) over deeper structural reform of a global financial architecture in crisis prevailed across the two-day gathering (see pages 1-2). The conference’s resulting compact focused on three areas for cooperation: financing for sustainable development and resilience; knowledge, data, technology and innovation; and equitable, diversified partnerships that deliver. The three-page document is notably brief but calls on multilateral and international organisations to “commit to deeper reforms and system coherence and better support joined-up delivery with partners at country level.” On financing for development, aside from a heavy private-sector call to action, the compact notes the need to “address debt pressures and reform the global financial system so it becomes more shock responsive,” and “back reforms that strengthen tax systems, public financial management and investment quality.” Yet, the document is significantly ambiguous on how exactly the conference and compact actually support reform and financing initiatives – as UK-based civil society network Bond reflected in its conclusion on the conference, noting that substance on vital structural change was sparse despite extensive calls from civil society in the run up to the conference. London Stock Exchange takes on WBG Financial Solutions Hub The conference included an announcement that, in partnership with FCDO, the City of London would become the World Bank Group’s new London Financial Solutions Hub. Operating from the London Stock Exchange, the hub will reportedly connect investors with “high-impact development projects” and perform a de-risking role for commercial investments in low- and middle-income countries. UK Minister of State for Development Jenny Chapman has declared this initiative illustrates “how the UK is shifting from being a donor to an investor,” which exemplifies the UK’s focus on deepening its influence over PCM and blended finance initiatives, as an important WBG shareholder. In light of deeply detrimental ODA cuts announced by the UK government in 2025, such a focus raises concerns about the direction of development policy more widely: prioritising private capital risks overlooking the vital role of public and concessional finance, which remains critical for low-income and climate-vulnerable countries. Evidence suggests that private finance struggles to reach the poorest contexts, further financialising development, rather than supporting the Conference’s objective of rebalancing power within multilateral institutions. Alex Farley of Bond commented, “To date, private finance hasn’t flowed at scale or to the places funding is most needed- which suggests that evidence isn’t the main driver in the UK’s shift ‘from donor to investor’. The UK government urgently needs to articulate a more rounded development plan that puts public finance first and uses private finance only where it can genuinely add value.” These tensions are particularly significant considering the British government will experience yet more leadership shake-up this summer following the resignation of Prime Minister Keir Starmer, and ahead of its upcoming presidency of the Group of 20 (G20), beginning in December (see Observer Spring 2026), for which UK civil society has been championing demands. Recent presidencies such as Brazil and South Africa sought to advance more progressive agendas on reforming the international financial architecture (see Dispatch Annuals 2025; Observer Autumn 2024), calling for adjustments to World Bank and IMF governance structures and quotas, as well as support for the expansion of fiscal space by addressing debt burdens through multilateral development bank capitalisation. ==================================================================== The Observer is available in pdf, on the web, and by email. Observer www.brettonwoodsproject.org/observer/ Spanish: www.brettonwoodsproject.org/es/observador Subscriptions: www.brettonwoodsproject.org/subs The Bretton Woods Project is an ActionAid-hosted project, UK registered charity no. 274467, England and Wales charity no. 274467, Scottish charity no. SC045476. This publication is supported by a network of UK ngos, the C.S. Mott Foundation, the William and Flora Hewlett Foundation and the Ford Foundation. 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